{"id":10824,"date":"2023-04-11T13:25:01","date_gmt":"2023-04-11T18:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\/macroconsult\/?p=10824"},"modified":"2023-04-11T13:25:01","modified_gmt":"2023-04-11T18:25:01","slug":"abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\/macroconsult\/2023\/04\/11\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfAbandonando el piloto autom\u00e1tico?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gonzalo Ruiz Diaz, economista asociado de Macroconsult<\/em><\/p>\n

Entre los a\u00f1os 2012 y 2021, el sector denominado \u201cTelecomunicaciones y Otros Servicios de la Informaci\u00f3n\u201d creci\u00f3 a una tasa anual promedio del 8%. Dentro de este sector (que seg\u00fan el INEI representa el 2.7% del PBI), el subsector telecomunicaciones explica el 69% del total. Esto significa que la din\u00e1mica seguida por este sector durante los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os, guarda estrecha relaci\u00f3n con el crecimiento de las telecomunicaciones.<\/p>\n

Este resultado no es ninguna sorpresa y parece bastante coherente con la evoluci\u00f3n que hemos observado durante la \u00faltima d\u00e9cada, caracterizada por un crecimiento sostenido de las telecomunicaciones en t\u00e9rminos de ingresos, n\u00famero de usuarios, inversi\u00f3n e innovaci\u00f3n, entre otros. Por eso ha llamado poderosamente la atenci\u00f3n la cifra de crecimiento negativo de -1,3% para el sector, registrada en 2022. Ello obliga a analizar con detalle la metodolog\u00eda seguida por el INEI para el c\u00e1lculo de este indicador.<\/p>\n

En t\u00e9rminos conceptuales, el PBI de un sector est\u00e1 dado por el valor agregado que este aporta a la econom\u00eda. El INEI aproxima el crecimiento del PBI sectorial partir de la construcci\u00f3n de \u00edndices del valor bruto de la producci\u00f3n, otorg\u00e1ndole un peso de 49.7% a telefon\u00eda, 15.8% a internet y televisi\u00f3n por suscripci\u00f3n y 3.8% a transmisi\u00f3n de datos y otros (el total suma 69%).
\nEstas ponderaciones, sin embargo, no se condicen con las caracter\u00edsticas actuales del sector. Los servicios de telefon\u00eda que corresponden a llamadas (\u201cservicios de voz\u201d) de tel\u00e9fonos fijos o m\u00f3viles que utilizan redes tradicionales, tienen hoy una menor relevancia relativa frente a los servicios de internet (\u201cservicios de datos\u201d). El crecimiento de las coberturas m\u00f3viles en tecnolog\u00edas 4G y 3G adem\u00e1s de su uso cada vez mayor, no solo para contenidos intensivos en tr\u00e1fico (como el streaming) sino tambi\u00e9n la realizaci\u00f3n de llamadas de voz sobre IP; hacen que el valor agregado generado por las telecomunicaciones, se exprese hoy principalmente a trav\u00e9s de estas nuevas tecnolog\u00edas.<\/p>\n

PBI del Sector \u201cTelecomunicaciones y Otros Servicios de la Informaci\u00f3n\u201d<\/strong>
\n(% de crecimiento anual)<\/p>\n

Fuente: Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica e Inform\u00e1tica (INEI)
\n<\/small>Seg\u00fan la plataforma Punku de OSIPTEL, el tr\u00e1fico de llamadas originadas en la red fija, en el 2022, registr\u00f3 una ca\u00edda r\u00e9cord de 37.7%, respecto del a\u00f1o anterior. En el caso de del sector m\u00f3vil, el tr\u00e1fico de llamadas se redujo por primera vez en 4,7%, respecto de 2021. A\u00fan no se cuenta con informaci\u00f3n del tr\u00e1fico de datos al cierre de 2022, sin embargo, dif\u00edcilmente se aprecien retrocesos como los observados en el caso de los servicios de voz. Ello sugerir\u00eda que el resultado negativo observado en 2022 se deba fundamentalmente a la contracci\u00f3n del nivel de actividad asociado a los servicios de voz.
\nEl proceso de convergencia hacia tecnolog\u00edas IP reducir\u00e1 progresivamente la importancia relativa de los servicios de voz cursados a trav\u00e9s de redes tradicionales. Esto exige que nuestras autoridades revisen las metodolog\u00edas y ponderadores utilizados, a fin de reflejar el verdadero aporte del sector de las telecomunicaciones a la econom\u00eda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gonzalo Ruiz Diaz, economista asociado de Macroconsult Entre los a\u00f1os 2012 y 2021, el sector denominado \u201cTelecomunicaciones y Otros Servicios de la Informaci\u00f3n\u201d creci\u00f3 a una tasa anual promedio del 8%. Dentro de este sector (que seg\u00fan el INEI representa el 2.7% del PBI), el subsector telecomunicaciones explica el 69% del total. Esto significa que…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10826,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articulos"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfAbandonando el piloto autom\u00e1tico? - Macroconsult<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\/macroconsult\/2023\/04\/11\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfAbandonando el piloto autom\u00e1tico? - Macroconsult\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gonzalo Ruiz Diaz, economista asociado de Macroconsult Entre los a\u00f1os 2012 y 2021, el sector denominado \u201cTelecomunicaciones y Otros Servicios de la Informaci\u00f3n\u201d creci\u00f3 a una tasa anual promedio del 8%. Dentro de este sector (que seg\u00fan el INEI representa el 2.7% del PBI), el subsector telecomunicaciones explica el 69% del total. Esto significa que...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\/macroconsult\/2023\/04\/11\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Macroconsult\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Macroconsult.SA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-11T18:25:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\/macroconsult\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/sites\/5\/2023\/04\/2448Destacado-web-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Macroconsult\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Macroconsult\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"\",\"@id\":\"\"},\"headline\":\"\u00bfAbandonando el piloto autom\u00e1tico?\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-11T18:25:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":543,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/5\\\/sites\\\/5\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/2448Destacado-web-scaled.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Art\u00edculos\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es-PE\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/vm-web-03.grupomacro.pe\\\/macroconsult\\\/2023\\\/04\\\/11\\\/abandonando-el-piloto-automatico-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00bfAbandonando el piloto autom\u00e1tico? 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